--- title: "Aztec Calendar case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Aztec Calendar ($54.61) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 70.29% over 737 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar rendered: 2026-11-12T05:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Aztec Calendar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Aztec Calendar A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar?window=all) Price · $54.61 · 78.01 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 70.29% · 737 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 91 openings · below min 7 days · 524 openings · below min 30 days · 737 openings · below min since tracking started · 737 openings · below min 34.5% 97.8% 161.0% **Small sample.** 737 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar?window=24h) | 91 | 97.69% ±62.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar?window=7d) | 524 | 66.49% ±14.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar) | 737 | 70.29% ±13.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aztec-calendar?window=all) | 737 | 70.29% ±13.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) [trueseni](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/trueseni) $54.61 78.01 coins $1,434 2,049 coins 26.27x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $1,434 2,049 coins 26.27x 2026-11-04 13:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=aztec-calendar) [★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $82.98 119 coins 1.52x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $45.72 65.32 coins 0.84x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [M249 | Aztec (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-factory-new) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $1.51 2.15 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [M249 | Aztec (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-factory-new) [beefer](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/beefer) $54.61 78.01 coins $1.51 2.15 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $45.72 65.32 coins 0.84x 2026-11-11 23:58 UTC [Souvenir G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-jungle-dashed-factory-new) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $139 199 coins 2.55x 2026-11-11 23:58 UTC [M249 | Aztec (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-factory-new) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $1.51 2.15 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:58 UTC [AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-factory-new) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $107 154 coins 1.97x 2026-11-11 23:58 UTC [M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $8.83 12.62 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 23:58 UTC [M249 | Aztec (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-factory-new) Hidden $54.61 78.01 coins $1.51 2.15 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,434 (26.27x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 70.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $70.29 on average: an expected loss of $29.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt