--- title: "Backstab case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Backstab ($94.89) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.69% over 1,137 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab rendered: 2026-11-11T20:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Backstab](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Backstab A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab?window=all) Price · $94.89 · 136 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.69% · 1,137 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 246 openings · below min 7 days · 761 openings · below min 30 days · 86.69% ±9.79 1,137 openings since tracking started · 86.69% ±9.79 1,137 openings 70.5% 92.8% 115.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab?window=24h) | 246 | 92.69% ±21.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab?window=7d) | 761 | 89.45% ±12.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab) | 1,137 | 86.69% ±9.79 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/backstab?window=all) | 1,137 | 86.69% ±9.79 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $968 1,383 coins 10.20x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $968 1,383 coins 10.20x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $968 1,383 coins 10.20x 2026-11-08 00:09 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $968 1,383 coins 10.20x 2026-11-07 22:00 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $968 1,383 coins 10.20x 2026-11-07 21:20 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $968 1,383 coins 10.20x 2026-11-07 03:28 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $968 1,383 coins 10.20x 2026-11-07 02:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $968 1,383 coins 10.20x 2026-11-04 11:52 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $968 1,383 coins 10.20x 2026-11-03 21:17 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-well-worn) [bandits3](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bandits3) $94.89 136 coins $737 1,053 coins 7.77x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=backstab) [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-blood-red) Hidden $94.89 136 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-blood-red) Hidden $94.89 136 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $513 733 coins 5.41x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-blood-red) Hidden $94.89 136 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $321 459 coins 3.38x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-blood-red) [bandits3](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bandits3) $94.89 136 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $575 822 coins 6.06x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-blood-red) Hidden $94.89 136 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $93.50 134 coins 0.99x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $94.89 136 coins $131 188 coins 1.38x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $968 (10.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.69 on average: an expected loss of $13.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt