--- title: "BCX case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "BCX ($28.16) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.65% over 18.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [BCX](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · BCX A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx?window=all) Price · $28.16 · 40.23 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.65% · 18.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 93.52% ±19.40 3,187 openings 7 days · 89.88% ±7.56 14.9K openings 30 days · 89.65% ±6.83 18.2K openings since tracking started · 89.65% ±6.83 18.2K openings 73.5% 93.5% 113.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx?window=24h) | 3,187 | 93.52% ±19.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx?window=7d) | 14.9K | 89.88% ±7.56 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx) | 18.2K | 89.65% ±6.83 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bcx?window=all) | 18.2K | 89.65% ±6.83 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-11 08:43 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-11 01:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-10 21:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-10 19:42 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-10 19:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-10 18:27 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-10 17:20 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $2,466 3,522 coins 87.55x 2026-11-09 20:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=bcx) [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-factory-new) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins $91.88 131 coins 3.26x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-factory-new) [Ceontea](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Ceontea) $28.16 40.23 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.16 40.23 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,466 (87.55x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.65 on average: an expected loss of $10.35 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt