--- title: "Big Balls case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Big Balls ($70.05) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.33% over 11.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Big Balls](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Big Balls A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls?window=all) Price · $70.05 · 100 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.33% · 11.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 94.49% ±13.16 2,497 openings 7 days · 88.75% ±6.52 9,168 openings 30 days · 91.33% ±6.03 11.2K openings since tracking started · 91.33% ±6.03 11.2K openings 80.5% 94.5% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls?window=24h) | 2,497 | 94.49% ±13.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls?window=7d) | 9,168 | 88.75% ±6.52 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls) | 11.2K | 91.33% ±6.03 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/big-balls?window=all) | 11.2K | 91.33% ±6.03 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $70.05 100 coins $3,781 5,402 coins 53.98x 2026-11-03 10:58 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $70.05 100 coins $3,252 4,646 coins 46.43x 2026-11-10 20:45 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Slogirani Zoran](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%5BBOT%5D%20Slogirani%20Zoran) $70.05 100 coins $1,876 2,681 coins 26.79x 2026-11-11 04:30 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $70.05 100 coins $1,876 2,681 coins 26.79x 2026-11-10 23:54 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $70.05 100 coins $1,876 2,681 coins 26.79x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $70.05 100 coins $1,876 2,681 coins 26.79x 2026-11-10 20:12 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) [Ceontea](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Ceontea) $70.05 100 coins $1,876 2,681 coins 26.79x 2026-11-10 20:06 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $70.05 100 coins $1,876 2,681 coins 26.79x 2026-11-10 17:15 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) [minion\_\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/minion__) $70.05 100 coins $1,876 2,681 coins 26.79x 2026-11-10 14:29 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $70.05 100 coins $1,876 2,681 coins 26.79x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=big-balls) [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.05 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.05 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.05 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.05 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.05 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.05 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.05 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.05 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) Hidden $70.05 100 coins $233 334 coins 3.33x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.05 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,781 (53.98x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.33 on average: an expected loss of $8.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt