--- title: "Binge case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Binge ($4,212.11) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.24% over 276 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge rendered: 2026-11-11T15:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Binge](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Binge A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge?window=all) Price · $4,212.11 · 6,017 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.24% · 276 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 120 openings · below min 7 days · 202 openings · below min 30 days · 276 openings · below min since tracking started · 276 openings · below min 55.0% 96.3% 137.5% **Small sample.** 276 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge?window=24h) | 120 | 96.42% ±40.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge?window=7d) | 202 | 93.62% ±32.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge) | 276 | 93.24% ±27.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/binge?window=all) | 276 | 93.24% ±27.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $70K 100,000 coins 16.62x 2026-11-10 22:54 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $70K 100,000 coins 16.62x 2026-11-08 22:29 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $70K 100,000 coins 16.62x 2026-11-03 16:52 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $52.5K 75,000 coins 12.46x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $52.5K 75,000 coins 12.46x 2026-11-09 23:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $28.1K 40,139 coins 6.67x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $28.1K 40,139 coins 6.67x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $28.1K 40,139 coins 6.67x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) [Lobanjica](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Lobanjica) $4,212 6,017 coins $28.1K 40,139 coins 6.67x 2026-11-04 01:47 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $21.1K 30,148 coins 5.01x 2026-11-08 22:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=binge) [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $3,373 4,819 coins 0.80x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $28.1K 40,139 coins 6.67x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $53.93 77.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $53.93 77.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $2,512 3,589 coins 0.60x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $53.93 77.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $53.93 77.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) [Kick.com/xck97x | CODE : CK97](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Kick.com%2Fxck97x%20%7C%20CODE%20%3A%20CK97) $4,212 6,017 coins $53.93 77.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $11.8K 16,889 coins 2.81x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $4,212 6,017 coins $53.93 77.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $70K (16.62x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.24 on average: an expected loss of $6.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt