--- title: "Black Hole case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Black Hole ($767.49) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 77.35% over 163 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole rendered: 2026-11-12T03:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Black Hole](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Black Hole A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole?window=all) Price · $767.49 · 1,096 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 77.35% · 163 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 69 openings · below min 30 days · 163 openings · below min since tracking started · 163 openings · below min 7.5% 74.0% 140.5% **Small sample.** 163 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole?window=24h) | 6 | 20.49% ±12.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole?window=7d) | 69 | 93.44% ±46.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole) | 163 | 77.35% ±27.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-hole?window=all) | 163 | 77.35% ±27.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $8,011 11,445 coins 10.44x 2026-11-08 18:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $8,011 11,445 coins 10.44x 2026-11-03 22:49 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) [EduGambo](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/EduGambo) $767 1,096 coins $6,231 8,902 coins 8.12x 2026-11-08 18:53 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $6,231 8,902 coins 8.12x 2026-11-03 23:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-night-factory-new) [EduGambo](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/EduGambo) $767 1,096 coins $4,106 5,866 coins 5.35x 2026-11-08 19:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-night-factory-new) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $4,106 5,866 coins 5.35x 2026-11-03 23:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $3,565 5,093 coins 4.65x 2026-11-08 19:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $3,565 5,093 coins 4.65x 2026-11-08 18:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [DameTime619](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/DameTime619) $767 1,096 coins $3,565 5,093 coins 4.65x 2026-11-03 23:22 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $3,113 4,447 coins 4.06x 2026-11-08 19:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=black-hole) [★ Gut Knife | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-field-tested) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $73.37 105 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $370 528 coins 0.48x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-field-tested) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $73.37 105 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $215 307 coins 0.28x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $138 198 coins 0.18x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-field-tested) [joonXO](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/joonXO) $767 1,096 coins $73.37 105 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-field-tested) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $73.37 105 coins 0.10x 2026-11-08 19:02 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $3,113 4,447 coins 4.06x 2026-11-08 19:02 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-field-tested) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $73.37 105 coins 0.10x 2026-11-08 19:02 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $767 1,096 coins $215 307 coins 0.28x 2026-11-08 19:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $8,011 (10.44x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $77.35 on average: an expected loss of $22.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt