--- title: "Black Ice case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Black Ice ($130.79) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.84% over 571 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice rendered: 2026-11-12T09:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Black Ice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Black Ice A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice?window=all) Price · $130.79 · 187 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.84% · 571 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 66 openings · below min 7 days · 316 openings · below min 30 days · 571 openings · below min since tracking started · 571 openings · below min 35.5% 71.0% 106.5% **Small sample.** 571 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice?window=24h) | 66 | 58.43% ±22.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice?window=7d) | 316 | 88.22% ±17.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice) | 571 | 87.84% ±13.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/black-ice?window=all) | 571 | 87.84% ±13.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $131 187 coins $1,235 1,765 coins 9.44x 2026-11-04 23:22 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $1,028 1,468 coins 7.86x 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $1,028 1,468 coins 7.86x 2026-11-04 23:25 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $131 187 coins $1,028 1,468 coins 7.86x 2026-11-04 23:20 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $131 187 coins $1,025 1,464 coins 7.84x 2026-11-04 23:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $933 1,334 coins 7.14x 2026-11-08 03:03 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $933 1,334 coins 7.14x 2026-11-08 03:03 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $933 1,334 coins 7.14x 2026-11-07 00:41 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [ich hab kleine d](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ich%20hab%20kleine%20d) $131 187 coins $933 1,334 coins 7.14x 2026-11-05 16:05 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $933 1,334 coins 7.14x 2026-11-04 07:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=black-ice) [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $772 1,103 coins 5.90x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $131 187 coins $24.98 35.68 coins 0.19x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $39.72 56.74 coins 0.30x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $39.72 56.74 coins 0.30x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-black-limba-field-tested) Hidden $131 187 coins $5.89 8.42 coins 0.05x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-black-limba-factory-new) Hidden $131 187 coins $64.58 92.25 coins 0.49x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $131 187 coins $24.98 35.68 coins 0.19x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $131 187 coins $24.98 35.68 coins 0.19x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) [ich hab kleine d](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ich%20hab%20kleine%20d) $131 187 coins $195 278 coins 1.49x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $131 187 coins $39.72 56.74 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,235 (9.44x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.84 on average: an expected loss of $12.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt