--- title: "Blaze case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Blaze ($10.11) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.27% over 2,280 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze rendered: 2026-11-11T18:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Blaze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Blaze A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze?window=all) Price · $10.11 · 14.45 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.27% · 2,280 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 209 openings · below min 7 days · 97.40% ±13.56 1,910 openings 30 days · 94.27% ±11.95 2,280 openings since tracking started · 94.27% ±11.95 2,280 openings 47.5% 87.3% 127.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze?window=24h) | 209 | 87.08% ±39.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze?window=7d) | 1,910 | 97.40% ±13.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze) | 2,280 | 94.27% ±11.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blaze?window=all) | 2,280 | 94.27% ±11.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=blaze) [M4A4 | Converter (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-well-worn) Hidden $10.11 14.45 coins $0.61 0.87 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-well-worn) Hidden $10.11 14.45 coins $0.61 0.87 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.11 14.45 coins $37.10 53 coins 3.67x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-well-worn) Hidden $10.11 14.45 coins $0.61 0.87 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.11 14.45 coins $54.79 78.27 coins 5.42x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) [KONTOLOYO](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/KONTOLOYO) $10.11 14.45 coins $8.48 12.11 coins 0.84x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-well-worn) Hidden $10.11 14.45 coins $0.61 0.87 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-well-worn) Hidden $10.11 14.45 coins $0.61 0.87 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-well-worn) Hidden $10.11 14.45 coins $0.61 0.87 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.11 14.45 coins $8.48 12.11 coins 0.84x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.27 on average: an expected loss of $5.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt