--- title: "Blood Moon case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Blood Moon ($43.03) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 104.69% over 1,057 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon rendered: 2026-11-11T22:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Blood Moon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Blood Moon A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon?window=all) Price · $43.03 · 61.47 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 104.69% · 1,057 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 104 openings · below min 7 days · 878 openings · below min 30 days · 104.69% ±19.66 1,057 openings since tracking started · 104.69% ±19.66 1,057 openings 47.5% 111.3% 175.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon?window=24h) | 104 | 111.26% ±63.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon?window=7d) | 878 | 96.93% ±20.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon) | 1,057 | 104.69% ±19.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/blood-moon?window=all) | 1,057 | 104.69% ±19.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) [ради неё... S0nder](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%91...%20S0nder) $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-10 20:22 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-10 10:24 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) [NaiKKi](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/NaiKKi) $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-08 08:23 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-08 04:37 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-07 13:13 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) [nota-892dbd](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/nota-892dbd) $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-07 10:53 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-05 23:33 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-05 04:22 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) [SB...hitman](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/SB...hitman) $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-04 12:54 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $915 1,307 coins 21.26x 2026-11-04 12:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=blood-moon) [SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $2.02 2.88 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $12.00 17.15 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) [max.-afa631](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/max.-afa631) $43.03 61.47 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $2.02 2.88 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $12.00 17.15 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $43.03 61.47 coins $2.02 2.88 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $915 (21.26x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.69 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt