--- title: "Bouchonnoir case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bouchonnoir ($10.72) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.19% over 100K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Bouchonnoir](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Bouchonnoir A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir?window=all) Price · $10.72 · 15.31 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.19% · 100K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.75% ±21.82 10.7K openings 7 days · 90.28% ±7.29 82K openings 30 days · 92.19% ±6.84 100K openings since tracking started · 92.19% ±6.84 100K openings 76.5% 98.8% 121.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir?window=24h) | 10.7K | 98.75% ±21.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir?window=7d) | 82K | 90.28% ±7.29 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir) | 100K | 92.19% ±6.84 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bouchonnoir?window=all) | 100K | 92.19% ±6.84 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 703.7x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) [high ko zmaj](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/high%20ko%20zmaj) $10.72 15.31 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 703.7x 2026-11-10 01:04 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 703.7x 2026-11-08 22:12 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 703.7x 2026-11-08 16:32 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 703.7x 2026-11-05 21:17 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 703.7x 2026-11-05 07:50 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 703.7x 2026-11-03 21:34 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 703.7x 2026-11-03 16:06 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 703.7x 2026-11-03 12:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [kilersegal](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/kilersegal) $10.72 15.31 coins $1,207 1,724 coins 112.6x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=bouchonnoir) [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) [The Professional](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/The%20Professional) $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $10.72 15.31 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,542 (703.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.19 on average: an expected loss of $7.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt