--- title: "Breaker Box case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Breaker Box ($27.63) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.89% over 1,790 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Breaker Box](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Breaker Box A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box?window=all) Price · $27.63 · 39.47 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.89% · 1,790 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 149 openings · below min 7 days · 100.80% ±19.72 1,444 openings 30 days · 94.89% ±17.15 1,790 openings since tracking started · 94.89% ±17.15 1,790 openings 38.5% 95.3% 152.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box?window=24h) | 149 | 95.35% ±56.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box?window=7d) | 1,444 | 100.80% ±19.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box) | 1,790 | 94.89% ±17.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breaker-box?window=all) | 1,790 | 94.89% ±17.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $1,323 1,890 coins 47.89x 2026-11-09 23:24 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) [Fixedinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Fixedinho) $27.63 39.47 coins $1,323 1,890 coins 47.89x 2026-11-05 00:15 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $982 1,403 coins 35.54x 2026-11-10 10:06 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $982 1,403 coins 35.54x 2026-11-08 23:09 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $982 1,403 coins 35.54x 2026-11-05 00:48 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $982 1,403 coins 35.54x 2026-11-04 16:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $845 1,207 coins 30.58x 2026-11-05 00:25 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $668 955 coins 24.19x 2026-11-10 23:30 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $668 955 coins 24.19x 2026-11-10 10:00 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) [HarryBTZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/HarryBTZ) $27.63 39.47 coins $668 955 coins 24.19x 2026-11-08 20:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=breaker-box) [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC [MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-well-worn) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $599 855 coins 21.67x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) [Korakk598](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Korakk598) $27.63 39.47 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $27.63 39.47 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,323 (47.89x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.89 on average: an expected loss of $5.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt