--- title: "Breakfast case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Breakfast ($25.62) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.80% over 23.5K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast rendered: 2026-11-12T08:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Breakfast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Breakfast A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast?window=all) Price · $25.62 · 36.6 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.80% · 23.5K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 118.57% ±33.17 2,217 openings 7 days · 87.85% ±9.93 16K openings 30 days · 87.80% ±8.15 23.5K openings since tracking started · 87.80% ±8.15 23.5K openings 77.5% 115.0% 152.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast?window=24h) | 2,217 | 118.57% ±33.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast?window=7d) | 16K | 87.85% ±9.93 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast) | 23.5K | 87.80% ±8.15 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/breakfast?window=all) | 23.5K | 87.80% ±8.15 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-10 07:45 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-08 04:10 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-07 18:56 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-05 09:57 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) [内気 ⁧⁧𝘼𝙢](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%E5%86%85%E6%B0%97%20%E2%81%A7%E2%81%A7%F0%9D%98%BC%F0%9D%99%A2) $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-04 20:46 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-03 09:27 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $3,727 5,325 coins 145.5x 2026-11-03 09:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=breakfast) [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-princess-pink) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-princess-pink) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-princess-pink) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) [juwel is back](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/juwel%20is%20back) $25.62 36.6 coins $353 505 coins 13.79x 2026-11-12 08:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-princess-pink) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:45 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-princess-pink) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:45 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-princess-pink) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:45 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-princess-pink) [juwel is back](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/juwel%20is%20back) $25.62 36.6 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:45 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-princess-pink) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:44 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-princess-pink) Hidden $25.62 36.6 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,727 (145.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.80 on average: an expected loss of $12.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt