--- title: "Bright Lights case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bright Lights ($4.16) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.90% over 22.9K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights rendered: 2026-11-11T15:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Bright Lights](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Bright Lights A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights?window=all) Price · $4.16 · 5.94 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.90% · 22.9K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.21% ±42.74 1,764 openings 7 days · 91.01% ±10.02 18.8K openings 30 days · 89.90% ±8.78 22.9K openings since tracking started · 89.90% ±8.78 22.9K openings 43.0% 86.3% 129.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights?window=24h) | 1,764 | 86.21% ±42.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights?window=7d) | 18.8K | 91.01% ±10.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights) | 22.9K | 89.90% ±8.78 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bright-lights?window=all) | 22.9K | 89.90% ±8.78 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $1,498 2,140 coins 360.2x 2026-11-11 02:55 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $1,498 2,140 coins 360.2x 2026-11-09 03:05 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [BaRuT７７７ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BaRuT%EF%BC%97%EF%BC%97%EF%BC%97%E3%83%84) $4.16 5.94 coins $1,498 2,140 coins 360.2x 2026-11-08 20:55 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $1,498 2,140 coins 360.2x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [Lanik](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Lanik) $4.16 5.94 coins $978 1,398 coins 235.3x 2026-11-08 15:45 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BG2x) $4.16 5.94 coins $978 1,398 coins 235.3x 2026-11-08 11:56 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $978 1,398 coins 235.3x 2026-11-04 07:41 UTC [Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $469 670 coins 112.7x 2026-11-08 21:13 UTC [Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $469 670 coins 112.7x 2026-11-08 17:01 UTC [Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-well-worn) [Lazereyes](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Lazereyes) $4.16 5.94 coins $469 670 coins 112.7x 2026-11-06 17:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=bright-lights) [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $5.58 7.97 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-rio-2022) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-rio-2022) [chunky lund](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/chunky%20lund) $4.16 5.94 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-rio-2022) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $20.05 28.64 coins 4.82x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-rio-2022) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [MP9 | Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) [Holo-.-](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Holo-.-) $4.16 5.94 coins $2.34 3.34 coins 0.56x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-rio-2022) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-rio-2022) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-rio-2022) Hidden $4.16 5.94 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,498 (360.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.90 on average: an expected loss of $10.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt