--- title: "Broken case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Broken ($0.52) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.39% over 30.9K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken rendered: 2026-11-11T15:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Broken](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Broken A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken?window=all) Price · $0.52 · 0.75 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.39% · 30.9K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 115.20% ±45.95 3,418 openings 7 days · 92.11% ±10.74 24.8K openings 30 days · 91.39% ±9.69 30.9K openings since tracking started · 91.39% ±9.69 30.9K openings 68.5% 115.3% 162.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken?window=24h) | 3,418 | 115.20% ±46.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken?window=7d) | 24.8K | 92.11% ±10.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken) | 30.9K | 91.39% ±9.69 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/broken?window=all) | 30.9K | 91.39% ±9.69 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $300 429 coins 571.9x 2026-11-10 23:30 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $300 429 coins 571.9x 2026-11-03 10:16 UTC [★ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $212 303 coins 404.1x 2026-11-11 01:10 UTC [★ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $212 303 coins 404.1x 2026-11-09 22:55 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $148 211 coins 281.6x 2026-11-10 21:43 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) [PandaBoy](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/PandaBoy) $0.52 0.75 coins $148 211 coins 281.6x 2026-11-08 19:55 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $148 211 coins 281.6x 2026-11-07 12:37 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $148 211 coins 281.6x 2026-11-05 18:00 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $102 146 coins 194.9x 2026-11-10 11:46 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $102 146 coins 194.9x 2026-11-08 23:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=broken) [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) [lol](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/lol) $0.52 0.75 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 0.75 coins $0.51 0.73 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $300 (571.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.39 on average: an expected loss of $8.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt