---
title: "Bubble Wrap case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Bubble Wrap ($0.27) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.77% over 60.4K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Bubble Wrap](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap)

# [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Bubble Wrap

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap?window=all)

Price · $0.27 · 0.39 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.77% · 60.4K openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.10% ±12.84 8,991 openings

7 days · 90.20% ±5.50 49.7K openings

30 days · 89.77% ±4.95 60.4K openings

since tracking started · 89.77% ±4.95 60.4K openings

78.5% 92.0% 105.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap?window=24h) | 8,991 | 92.10% ±12.8 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap?window=7d) | 49.7K | 90.20% ±5.50 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap) | 60.4K | 89.77% ±4.95 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/bubble-wrap?window=all) | 60.4K | 89.77% ±4.95 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) [GOD'S BERSERK](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/GOD'S%20BERSERK) $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-11 06:25 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-11 06:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-10 10:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-10 09:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-09 23:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) [BadPlayer\_x](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BadPlayer_x) $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-09 19:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-09 09:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-09 09:54 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $31.74 45.34 coins 116.3x 2026-11-09 07:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=bubble-wrap)

[P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-grassland-factory-new) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $3.58 5.11 coins 13.10x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[P90 | Chopper (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-well-worn) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $0.38 0.54 coins 1.38x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-classic-crate-field-tested) Hidden $0.27 0.39 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $31.74 (116.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.77 on average: an expected loss of $10.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
