--- title: "Budget 10% Knife case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Budget 10% Knife ($8.58) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.18% over 13.7K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife rendered: 2026-11-12T01:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Budget 10% Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Budget 10% Knife A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife?window=all) Price · $8.58 · 12.26 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.18% · 13.7K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 77.92% ±10.98 1,943 openings 7 days · 88.55% ±5.17 9,840 openings 30 days · 90.18% ±4.42 13.7K openings since tracking started · 90.18% ±4.42 13.7K openings 66.5% 80.8% 95.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife?window=24h) | 1,943 | 77.92% ±11.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife?window=7d) | 9,840 | 88.55% ±5.17 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife) | 13.7K | 90.18% ±4.42 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/budget-10-knife?window=all) | 13.7K | 90.18% ±4.42 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=budget-10-knife) [Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Monarch Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-monarch-blue) Hidden $8.58 12.26 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.58 12.26 coins $75.07 107 coins 8.75x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-well-worn) Hidden $8.58 12.26 coins $75.04 107 coins 8.74x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Monster Purple) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-monster-purple) [el asesino](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/el%20asesino) $8.58 12.26 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-shark-white) Hidden $8.58 12.26 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Monarch Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-monarch-blue) Hidden $8.58 12.26 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Monarch Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-monarch-blue) Hidden $8.58 12.26 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-shark-white) Hidden $8.58 12.26 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-shark-white) Hidden $8.58 12.26 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Monarch Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-monarch-blue) Hidden $8.58 12.26 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.18 on average: an expected loss of $9.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt