--- title: "Cacao case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cacao ($13.53) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.29% over 2,199 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao rendered: 2026-11-11T14:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Cacao](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Cacao A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao?window=all) Price · $13.53 · 19.33 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.29% · 2,199 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 153 openings · below min 7 days · 71.44% ±8.63 1,770 openings 30 days · 81.29% ±10.10 2,199 openings since tracking started · 81.29% ±10.10 2,199 openings 43.5% 67.8% 92.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao?window=24h) | 153 | 63.34% ±19.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao?window=7d) | 1,770 | 71.44% ±8.63 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao) | 2,199 | 81.29% ±10.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cacao?window=all) | 2,199 | 81.29% ±10.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $585 835 coins 43.22x 2026-11-03 09:58 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $523 747 coins 38.67x 2026-11-05 15:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=cacao) [★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $64.99 92.84 coins 4.80x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-factory-new) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $1.83 2.62 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-factory-new) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $1.83 2.62 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-factory-new) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $1.83 2.62 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-factory-new) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $1.83 2.62 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-ancient-souvenir-package) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $13.53 19.33 coins $4.20 6 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-factory-new) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $1.83 2.62 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [SG 553 | Traveler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-traveler-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $8.46 12.08 coins 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-rust-coat-field-tested) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $12.00 17.14 coins 0.89x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [SG 553 | Traveler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-traveler-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.53 19.33 coins $8.46 12.08 coins 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $585 (43.22x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.29 on average: an expected loss of $18.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt