--- title: "Cactus case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cactus ($69.50) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 99.24% over 759 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus rendered: 2026-11-12T02:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Cactus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Cactus A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus?window=all) Price · $69.50 · 99.28 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 99.24% · 759 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 50 openings · below min 7 days · 540 openings · below min 30 days · 759 openings · below min since tracking started · 759 openings · below min 35.5% 78.3% 121.0% **Small sample.** 759 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus?window=24h) | 50 | 67.61% ±31.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus?window=7d) | 540 | 101.73% ±18.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus) | 759 | 99.24% ±15.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cactus?window=all) | 759 | 99.24% ±15.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $1,137 1,624 coins 16.35x 2026-11-09 19:59 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) [T-R3X](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/T-R3X) $69.50 99.28 coins $968 1,383 coins 13.93x 2026-11-03 19:27 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $968 1,383 coins 13.93x 2026-11-03 18:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [HEAVYISTHECROWN](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/HEAVYISTHECROWN) $69.50 99.28 coins $895 1,278 coins 12.87x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $895 1,278 coins 12.87x 2026-11-06 18:46 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [ElpassoCS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ElpassoCS) $69.50 99.28 coins $796 1,137 coins 11.46x 2026-11-09 21:33 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $796 1,137 coins 11.46x 2026-11-09 18:43 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [T-R3X](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/T-R3X) $69.50 99.28 coins $796 1,137 coins 11.46x 2026-11-06 01:52 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $796 1,137 coins 11.46x 2026-11-05 12:08 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $796 1,137 coins 11.46x 2026-11-04 12:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=cactus) [StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-well-worn) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $1.78 2.54 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $76.57 109 coins 1.10x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-overgrowth-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $60.91 87.02 coins 0.88x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [Sticker | DavCost | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-davcost-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $12.07 17.24 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $0.98 1.4 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-overgrowth-minimal-wear) [LIVE: kick.com/lepajee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LIVE%3A%20kick.com%2Flepajee) $69.50 99.28 coins $60.91 87.02 coins 0.88x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $98.22 140 coins 1.41x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $76.57 109 coins 1.10x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $0.98 1.4 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $69.50 99.28 coins $420 600 coins 6.04x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,137 (16.35x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.24 on average: an expected loss of $0.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt