--- title: "Caffeine case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Caffeine ($26.18) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.24% over 568 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine rendered: 2026-11-11T21:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Caffeine](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Caffeine A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine?window=all) Price · $26.18 · 37.4 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.24% · 568 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 119 openings · below min 7 days · 346 openings · below min 30 days · 568 openings · below min since tracking started · 568 openings · below min 45.5% 76.8% 108.0% **Small sample.** 568 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine?window=24h) | 119 | 74.29% ±28.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine?window=7d) | 346 | 86.88% ±18.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine) | 568 | 91.24% ±15.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caffeine?window=all) | 568 | 91.24% ±15.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-minimal-wear) [lamboh](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/lamboh) $26.18 37.4 coins $589 842 coins 22.52x 2026-11-03 06:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=caffeine) [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $26.18 37.4 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-factory-new) Hidden $26.18 37.4 coins $31.62 45.17 coins 1.21x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $26.18 37.4 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-antique-minimal-wear) [keytowin](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/keytowin) $26.18 37.4 coins $14.62 20.88 coins 0.56x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $26.18 37.4 coins $76.49 109 coins 2.92x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-factory-new) Hidden $26.18 37.4 coins $31.62 45.17 coins 1.21x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [P90 | Leather (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-leather-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.18 37.4 coins $6.94 9.91 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $26.18 37.4 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Walnut (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-walnut-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.18 37.4 coins $1.41 2.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [P90 | Leather (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-leather-minimal-wear) [bandits3](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bandits3) $26.18 37.4 coins $6.94 9.91 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $589 (22.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.24 on average: an expected loss of $8.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt