--- title: "Caged case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Caged ($350.46) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.77% over 9,778 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged rendered: 2026-11-11T13:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Caged](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Caged A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged?window=all) Price · $350.46 · 501 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.77% · 9,778 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.14% ±27.94 1,271 openings 7 days · 88.64% ±11.72 7,599 openings 30 days · 84.77% ±10.07 9,778 openings since tracking started · 84.77% ±10.07 9,778 openings 60.5% 89.0% 117.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged?window=24h) | 1,271 | 89.14% ±27.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged?window=7d) | 7,599 | 88.64% ±11.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged) | 9,778 | 84.77% ±10.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caged?window=all) | 9,778 | 84.77% ±10.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-10 17:55 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) [jack.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/jack.com) $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-09 10:41 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-09 08:52 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-07 07:05 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-07 06:51 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-06 13:26 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) [RobZnnnLIVE](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/RobZnnnLIVE) $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-05 17:15 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-05 16:16 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-04 19:03 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $350 501 coins $20.6K 29,390 coins 58.70x 2026-11-02 21:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=caged) [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) [Hiccupplayz](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Hiccupplayz) $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) [Hiccupplayz](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Hiccupplayz) $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $350 501 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $20.6K (58.70x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.77 on average: an expected loss of $15.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt