--- title: "Calculated case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Calculated ($335.03) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.94% over 2,562 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated rendered: 2026-11-11T13:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Calculated](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Calculated A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated?window=all) Price · $335.03 · 479 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.94% · 2,562 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 506 openings · below min 7 days · 91.74% ±22.36 2,031 openings 30 days · 90.94% ±19.93 2,562 openings since tracking started · 90.94% ±19.93 2,562 openings 41.5% 85.3% 129.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated?window=24h) | 506 | 85.37% ±43.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated?window=7d) | 2,031 | 91.74% ±22.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated) | 2,562 | 90.94% ±19.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/calculated?window=all) | 2,562 | 90.94% ±19.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $335 479 coins $13.1K 18,699 coins 39.07x 2026-11-10 21:48 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [julsy](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/julsy) $335 479 coins $13.1K 18,699 coins 39.07x 2026-11-10 21:48 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $335 479 coins $13.1K 18,699 coins 39.07x 2026-11-10 15:18 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $335 479 coins $13.1K 18,699 coins 39.07x 2026-11-10 05:16 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $335 479 coins $13.1K 18,699 coins 39.07x 2026-11-10 05:15 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $335 479 coins $13.1K 18,699 coins 39.07x 2026-11-08 09:24 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $335 479 coins $13.1K 18,699 coins 39.07x 2026-11-05 01:21 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $335 479 coins $13.1K 18,699 coins 39.07x 2026-11-04 00:36 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $335 479 coins $12.3K 17,504 coins 36.57x 2026-11-08 15:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [KennyP](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/KennyP) $335 479 coins $12.3K 17,504 coins 36.57x 2026-11-07 11:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=calculated) [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) [Hiccupplayz](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Hiccupplayz) $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bradbeloved) $335 479 coins $3.04 4.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $13.1K (39.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.94 on average: an expected loss of $9.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt