--- title: "Candy Cane case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Candy Cane ($0.40) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.01% over 27.7K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane rendered: 2026-11-11T21:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Candy Cane](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Candy Cane A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane?window=all) Price · $0.40 · 0.57 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.01% · 27.7K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 83.40% ±11.48 1,904 openings 7 days · 85.69% ±3.76 18.2K openings 30 days · 86.01% ±3.05 27.7K openings since tracking started · 86.01% ±3.05 27.7K openings 71.5% 83.5% 95.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane?window=24h) | 1,904 | 83.40% ±11.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane?window=7d) | 18.2K | 85.69% ±3.76 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane) | 27.7K | 86.01% ±3.05 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-cane?window=all) | 27.7K | 86.01% ±3.05 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=candy-cane) [Sticker | rain | Antwerp 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-antwerp-2022) Hidden $0.40 0.57 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC [Sticker | rain | Antwerp 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-antwerp-2022) Hidden $0.40 0.57 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC [Sticker | rain | Antwerp 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-antwerp-2022) Hidden $0.40 0.57 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC [Sticker | rain | Antwerp 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-antwerp-2022) Hidden $0.40 0.57 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC [Sticker | rain | Antwerp 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-antwerp-2022) Hidden $0.40 0.57 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC [Sticker | rain | Antwerp 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-antwerp-2022) Hidden $0.40 0.57 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC [Sticker | rain | Antwerp 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-antwerp-2022) Hidden $0.40 0.57 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC [Sticker | rain | Antwerp 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-antwerp-2022) [Butftingerer](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Butftingerer) $0.40 0.57 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:52 UTC [Sticker | rain | Antwerp 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-antwerp-2022) [naki](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/naki) $0.40 0.57 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) [naki](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/naki) $0.40 0.57 coins $2.70 3.85 coins 6.75x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.01 on average: an expected loss of $13.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt