--- title: "Candy Shop case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Candy Shop ($1.48) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.34% over 28.5K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Candy Shop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Candy Shop A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop?window=all) Price · $1.48 · 2.11 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.34% · 28.5K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.52% ±17.11 3,102 openings 7 days · 84.56% ±7.26 21.8K openings 30 days · 85.34% ±6.70 28.5K openings since tracking started · 85.34% ±6.70 28.5K openings 70.0% 87.8% 105.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop?window=24h) | 3,102 | 87.52% ±17.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop?window=7d) | 21.8K | 84.56% ±7.26 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop) | 28.5K | 85.34% ±6.70 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/candy-shop?window=all) | 28.5K | 85.34% ±6.70 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) [El Galgo](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/El%20Galgo) $1.48 2.11 coins $518 740 coins 350.7x 2026-11-07 17:34 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $518 740 coins 350.7x 2026-11-06 06:42 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $518 740 coins 350.7x 2026-11-02 22:13 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $246 352 coins 166.8x 2026-11-09 21:49 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $246 352 coins 166.8x 2026-11-09 17:49 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-factory-new) [Neosaz](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Neosaz) $1.48 2.11 coins $246 352 coins 166.8x 2026-11-07 05:19 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $246 352 coins 166.8x 2026-11-03 23:26 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $246 352 coins 166.8x 2026-11-03 10:31 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $246 352 coins 166.8x 2026-11-03 01:26 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $137 196 coins 92.84x 2026-11-11 10:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=candy-shop) [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $0.50 0.72 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $10.96 15.65 coins 7.42x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) [Kirito89](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Kirito89) $1.48 2.11 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2.11 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $518 (350.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.34 on average: an expected loss of $14.66 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt