--- title: "Carrot Patch case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Carrot Patch ($41.66) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 80.48% over 859 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch rendered: 2026-11-11T21:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Carrot Patch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Carrot Patch A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch?window=all) Price · $41.66 · 59.52 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 80.48% · 859 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 97 openings · below min 7 days · 632 openings · below min 30 days · 859 openings · below min since tracking started · 859 openings · below min 37.5% 81.3% 125.0% **Small sample.** 859 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch?window=24h) | 97 | 81.10% ±43.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch?window=7d) | 632 | 80.88% ±19.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch) | 859 | 80.48% ±17.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/carrot-patch?window=all) | 859 | 80.48% ±17.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $871 1,244 coins 20.90x 2026-11-07 06:12 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $871 1,244 coins 20.90x 2026-11-03 18:46 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $871 1,244 coins 20.90x 2026-11-03 18:44 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $781 1,115 coins 18.74x 2026-11-04 12:14 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $753 1,076 coins 18.07x 2026-11-06 22:20 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $753 1,076 coins 18.07x 2026-11-06 09:22 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $753 1,076 coins 18.07x 2026-11-06 09:22 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $753 1,076 coins 18.07x 2026-11-05 06:10 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $753 1,076 coins 18.07x 2026-11-05 01:17 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $504 721 coins 12.11x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=carrot-patch) [Sticker | Orange Gnar sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-orange-gnar) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $0.17 0.24 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $414 592 coins 9.95x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-factory-new) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $303 432 coins 7.26x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [AK-47 | Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $29.02 41.45 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $1.80 2.57 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $1.80 2.57 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Orion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-factory-new) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $133 191 coins 3.20x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [Sticker | Orange Gnar sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-orange-gnar) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $0.17 0.24 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $56.66 80.94 coins 1.36x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [Sticker | Orange Gnar sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-orange-gnar) Hidden $41.66 59.52 coins $0.17 0.24 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $871 (20.90x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.48 on average: an expected loss of $19.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt