--- title: "Caviar case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Caviar ($114.65) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.56% over 1,848 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Caviar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Caviar A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar?window=all) Price · $114.65 · 164 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.56% · 1,848 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 335 openings · below min 7 days · 84.84% ±17.69 1,601 openings 30 days · 85.56% ±16.28 1,848 openings since tracking started · 85.56% ±16.28 1,848 openings 55.5% 102.3% 149.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar?window=24h) | 335 | 102.23% ±46.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar?window=7d) | 1,601 | 84.84% ±17.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar) | 1,848 | 85.56% ±16.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/caviar?window=all) | 1,848 | 85.56% ±16.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) Hidden $115 164 coins $6,011 8,587 coins 52.43x 2026-11-05 11:56 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) [I Identify as a Helicop](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/I%20Identify%20as%20a%20Helicop) $115 164 coins $5,537 7,910 coins 48.30x 2026-11-10 19:48 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $115 164 coins $5,537 7,910 coins 48.30x 2026-11-10 17:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $115 164 coins $4,696 6,708 coins 40.96x 2026-11-07 22:20 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $115 164 coins $4,510 6,443 coins 39.34x 2026-11-04 18:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $115 164 coins $3,819 5,455 coins 33.31x 2026-11-05 11:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $115 164 coins $3,819 5,455 coins 33.31x 2026-11-05 00:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $115 164 coins $3,819 5,455 coins 33.31x 2026-11-02 22:24 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) [Espião](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Espi%C3%A3o) $115 164 coins $2,984 4,263 coins 26.03x 2026-11-07 21:49 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) Hidden $115 164 coins $2,984 4,263 coins 26.03x 2026-11-05 11:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=caviar) [Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) Hidden $115 164 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) Hidden $115 164 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) Hidden $115 164 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) Hidden $115 164 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) Hidden $115 164 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) [DesTRoyer 么](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/DesTRoyer%20%E4%B9%88) $115 164 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-minimal-wear) Hidden $115 164 coins $31.04 44.35 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-minimal-wear) Hidden $115 164 coins $31.04 44.35 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) Hidden $115 164 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) Hidden $115 164 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,011 (52.43x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.56 on average: an expected loss of $14.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt