--- title: "Chandelier case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Chandelier ($209.73) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.87% over 462 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier rendered: 2026-11-11T23:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Chandelier](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Chandelier A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier?window=all) Price · $209.73 · 300 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.87% · 462 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 339 openings · below min 30 days · 462 openings · below min since tracking started · 462 openings · below min 18.5% 67.3% 116.0% **Small sample.** 462 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier?window=24h) | 20 | 40.84% ±21.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier?window=7d) | 339 | 95.31% ±20.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier) | 462 | 95.87% ±17.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/chandelier?window=all) | 462 | 95.87% ±17.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $2,884 4,121 coins 13.75x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $2,884 4,121 coins 13.75x 2026-11-08 01:11 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) [KABZIMAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/KABZIMAL) $210 300 coins $2,884 4,121 coins 13.75x 2026-11-04 19:01 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $2,387 3,410 coins 11.38x 2026-11-06 02:44 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $210 300 coins $2,058 2,939 coins 9.81x 2026-11-04 23:37 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) Hidden $210 300 coins $2,058 2,939 coins 9.81x 2026-11-04 23:01 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) [ADDICTED](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ADDICTED) $210 300 coins $2,058 2,939 coins 9.81x 2026-11-03 16:57 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $1,906 2,722 coins 9.09x 2026-11-10 23:39 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $1,906 2,722 coins 9.09x 2026-11-10 00:33 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-minimal-wear) [SodiumsCS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/SodiumsCS) $210 300 coins $1,906 2,722 coins 9.09x 2026-11-06 18:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=chandelier) [M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $225 322 coins 1.07x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $37.83 54.05 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Souvenir P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-chainmail-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $8.44 12.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) [Mr.Yodoc](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.Yodoc) $210 300 coins $103 147 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $37.83 54.05 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $225 322 coins 1.07x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Souvenir P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-chainmail-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $8.44 12.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Souvenir P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-chainmail-minimal-wear) [Mr.Yodoc](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.Yodoc) $210 300 coins $8.44 12.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Souvenir P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-chainmail-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $8.44 12.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [AUG | Lil' Pig (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-field-tested) Hidden $210 300 coins $17.54 25.05 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,884 (13.75x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.87 on average: an expected loss of $4.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt