--- title: "Cheddarbob case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cheddarbob ($14.62) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.70% over 7,747 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob rendered: 2026-11-12T00:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Cheddarbob](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Cheddarbob A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob?window=all) Price · $14.62 · 20.88 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.70% · 7,747 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 769 openings · below min 7 days · 79.10% ±10.85 5,374 openings 30 days · 84.70% ±13.99 7,747 openings since tracking started · 84.70% ±13.99 7,747 openings 42.5% 90.8% 139.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob?window=24h) | 769 | 90.65% ±47.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob?window=7d) | 5,374 | 79.10% ±10.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob) | 7,747 | 84.70% ±14.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cheddarbob?window=all) | 7,747 | 84.70% ±14.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) [smbdy](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/smbdy) $14.62 20.88 coins $6,454 9,220 coins 441.6x 2026-11-03 21:31 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2,632 3,760 coins 180.1x 2026-11-11 04:36 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $1,920 2,743 coins 131.4x 2026-11-06 08:30 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $1,263 1,804 coins 86.41x 2026-11-08 21:28 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $1,263 1,804 coins 86.41x 2026-11-07 01:09 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) [PAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/PAT) $14.62 20.88 coins $1,263 1,804 coins 86.41x 2026-11-04 22:10 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $1,263 1,804 coins 86.41x 2026-11-02 23:18 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) [^Kajuha^](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%5EKajuha%5E) $14.62 20.88 coins $667 953 coins 45.64x 2026-11-10 20:10 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $667 953 coins 45.64x 2026-11-09 22:38 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $667 953 coins 45.64x 2026-11-08 23:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=cheddarbob) [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:24 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:24 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:24 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:24 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:24 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:24 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:24 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) [Broki Pankūk](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Broki%20Pank%C5%ABk) $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:24 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:23 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $14.62 20.88 coins $2.09 2.98 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,454 (441.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.70 on average: an expected loss of $15.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt