--- title: "Cinco case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cinco ($3.50) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.84% over 34.4K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco rendered: 2026-11-11T14:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Cinco](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Cinco A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco?window=all) Price · $3.50 · 5 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.84% · 34.4K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 97.17% ±13.33 3,266 openings 7 days · 88.65% ±4.42 27.2K openings 30 days · 87.84% ±3.89 34.4K openings since tracking started · 87.84% ±3.89 34.4K openings 83.0% 97.0% 111.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco?window=24h) | 3,266 | 97.17% ±13.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco?window=7d) | 27.2K | 88.65% ±4.42 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco) | 34.4K | 87.84% ±3.89 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cinco?window=all) | 34.4K | 87.84% ±3.89 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-10 19:24 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) [KoKomeshuga](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/KoKomeshuga) $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-10 18:32 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-10 08:49 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-10 05:36 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-09 19:02 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-09 16:13 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-09 11:38 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-09 11:11 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) [Holo-.-](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Holo-.-) $3.50 5 coins $188 269 coins 53.84x 2026-11-08 22:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=cinco) [StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $18.59 26.55 coins 5.31x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-well-worn) [DJSHOWER](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/DJSHOWER) $3.50 5 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-battle-scarred) [F0gez](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/F0gez) $3.50 5 coins $18.59 26.55 coins 5.31x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 5 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $188 (53.84x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.84 on average: an expected loss of $12.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt