--- title: "Circuit case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Circuit ($83.04) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.90% over 879 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit rendered: 2026-11-11T23:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Circuit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Circuit A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit?window=all) Price · $83.04 · 119 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 96.90% · 879 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 156 openings · below min 7 days · 722 openings · below min 30 days · 879 openings · below min since tracking started · 879 openings · below min 50.5% 94.2% 138.0% **Small sample.** 879 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit?window=24h) | 156 | 94.32% ±43.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit?window=7d) | 722 | 95.17% ±17.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit) | 879 | 96.90% ±15.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/circuit?window=all) | 879 | 96.90% ±15.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $2,728 3,897 coins 32.85x 2026-11-09 15:57 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $2,167 3,096 coins 26.10x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $1,407 2,009 coins 16.94x 2026-11-11 14:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $1,407 2,009 coins 16.94x 2026-11-09 16:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $879 1,256 coins 10.58x 2026-11-09 15:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $879 1,256 coins 10.58x 2026-11-07 18:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $879 1,256 coins 10.58x 2026-11-07 18:07 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $767 1,095 coins 9.23x 2026-11-11 08:22 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [VarsityGambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/VarsityGambles) $83.04 119 coins $767 1,095 coins 9.23x 2026-11-07 20:22 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $767 1,095 coins 9.23x 2026-11-06 09:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=circuit) [Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $8.55 12.21 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:50 UTC [Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $8.55 12.21 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:50 UTC [Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $8.55 12.21 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:50 UTC [Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $8.55 12.21 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:50 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-minimal-wear) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $61.93 88.47 coins 0.75x 2026-11-11 22:50 UTC [Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) [dani-c4c16e](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/dani-c4c16e) $83.04 119 coins $8.55 12.21 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:50 UTC [Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $8.55 12.21 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC [Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $8.55 12.21 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $83.04 119 coins $243 347 coins 2.93x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-minimal-wear) [BulletJackpotOnKick](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BulletJackpotOnKick) $83.04 119 coins $61.93 88.47 coins 0.75x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,728 (32.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.90 on average: an expected loss of $3.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt