--- title: "Coconut case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Coconut ($2,632.66) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.42% over 92 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Coconut](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Coconut A case on Rain.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut?window=all) Price · $2,632.66 · 3,761 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.42% · 92 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 60 openings · below min 30 days · 92 openings · below min since tracking started · 92 openings · below min 2.5% 69.0% 135.5% **Small sample.** 92 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut?window=24h) | 6 | 4.49% ±1.57 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut?window=7d) | 60 | 61.39% ±35.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut) | 92 | 87.42% ±47.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/coconut?window=all) | 92 | 87.42% ±47.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $46.9K 66,946 coins 17.80x 2026-11-04 12:35 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) [CarlsonFks](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/CarlsonFks) $2,633 3,761 coins $15K 21,440 coins 5.70x 2026-11-10 05:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) [RICKASHAY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/RICKASHAY) $2,633 3,761 coins $14.5K 20,674 coins 5.50x 2026-11-09 07:06 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) [CODE ADDICTED](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/CODE%20ADDICTED) $2,633 3,761 coins $14.5K 20,674 coins 5.50x 2026-11-06 17:43 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $14.5K 20,674 coins 5.50x 2026-11-04 12:33 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $12.4K 17,701 coins 4.71x 2026-11-09 07:06 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $12.4K 17,701 coins 4.71x 2026-11-04 12:34 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $12.4K 17,701 coins 4.71x 2026-11-04 12:32 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $11K 15,653 coins 4.16x 2026-11-04 12:32 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $6,064 8,664 coins 2.30x 2026-11-07 20:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=coconut) [AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $105 150 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $176 252 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $105 150 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $176 252 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) [CarlsonFks](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/CarlsonFks) $2,633 3,761 coins $105 150 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $105 150 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 05:22 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $176 252 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 05:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 05:22 UTC [AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) Hidden $2,633 3,761 coins $105 150 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 05:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $46.9K (17.80x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.42 on average: an expected loss of $12.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt