--- title: "Cold Plunge case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cold Plunge ($44.20) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.57% over 401 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge rendered: 2026-11-11T23:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Cold Plunge](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Cold Plunge A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge?window=all) Price · $44.20 · 63.14 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.57% · 401 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 307 openings · below min 30 days · 401 openings · below min since tracking started · 401 openings · below min 37.5% 94.8% 152.0% **Small sample.** 401 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge?window=24h) | 14 | 94.57% ±56.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge?window=7d) | 307 | 89.04% ±15.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge) | 401 | 89.57% ±13.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cold-plunge?window=all) | 401 | 89.57% ±13.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $791 1,130 coins 17.90x 2026-11-07 16:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=cold-plunge) [USP-S | Orion (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-field-tested) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $43.08 61.54 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $79.22 113 coins 1.79x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $11.51 16.45 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $8.59 12.27 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $2.85 4.07 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) [max.-afa631](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/max.-afa631) $44.20 63.14 coins $2.85 4.07 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $2.85 4.07 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $2.85 4.07 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $79.22 113 coins 1.79x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.20 63.14 coins $32.91 47.01 coins 0.74x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $791 (17.90x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.57 on average: an expected loss of $10.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt