--- title: "Compass case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Compass ($5.12) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.90% over 15.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass rendered: 2026-11-11T14:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Compass](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Compass A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass?window=all) Price · $5.12 · 7.32 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.90% · 15.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 83.75% ±27.38 1,518 openings 7 days · 83.10% ±10.08 10.9K openings 30 days · 86.90% ±8.80 15.2K openings since tracking started · 86.90% ±8.80 15.2K openings 55.5% 83.8% 112.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass?window=24h) | 1,518 | 83.75% ±27.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass?window=7d) | 10.9K | 83.10% ±10.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass) | 15.2K | 86.90% ±8.80 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compass?window=all) | 15.2K | 86.90% ±8.80 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-11 11:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-10 12:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-09 10:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) [Alex](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Alex) $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-09 08:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-08 22:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-07 18:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) [tehbotol](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/tehbotol) $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-06 22:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-05 09:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-03 17:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $596 851 coins 116.3x 2026-11-03 16:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=compass) [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $596 (116.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.90 on average: an expected loss of $13.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt