--- title: "Cotton Candy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cotton Candy ($22.46) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 102.66% over 4,870 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy rendered: 2026-11-11T20:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Cotton Candy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Cotton Candy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy?window=all) Price · $22.46 · 32.08 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 102.66% · 4,870 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 478 openings · below min 7 days · 92.66% ±13.39 3,678 openings 30 days · 102.66% ±13.13 4,870 openings since tracking started · 102.66% ±13.13 4,870 openings 68.0% 114.0% 160.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy?window=24h) | 478 | 114.03% ±45.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy?window=7d) | 3,678 | 92.66% ±13.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy) | 4,870 | 102.66% ±13.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cotton-candy?window=all) | 4,870 | 102.66% ±13.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $1,296 1,851 coins 57.69x 2026-11-05 22:50 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $1,296 1,851 coins 57.69x 2026-11-04 19:04 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $1,296 1,851 coins 57.69x 2026-11-04 09:58 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $1,296 1,851 coins 57.69x 2026-11-02 23:13 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $1,296 1,851 coins 57.69x 2026-11-02 22:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 51.85x 2026-11-11 01:15 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 51.85x 2026-11-08 22:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 51.85x 2026-11-06 22:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 51.85x 2026-11-05 07:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Rajagamba](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Rajagamba) $22.46 32.08 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 51.85x 2026-11-04 19:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=cotton-candy) [Five-SeveN | Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $88.12 126 coins 3.92x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Real MVP graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-real-mvp) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $170 243 coins 7.58x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Real MVP graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-real-mvp) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Real MVP graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-real-mvp) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · Covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) [OHNEEHRE](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/OHNEEHRE) $22.46 32.08 coins $219 313 coins 9.76x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Real MVP graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-real-mvp) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Real MVP graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-real-mvp) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Real MVP graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-real-mvp) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Zeus x27 | Olympus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-well-worn) Hidden $22.46 32.08 coins $7.83 11.18 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,296 (57.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 102.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $102.66 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt