--- title: "Cracked case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cracked ($49.27) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.49% over 14.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Cracked](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Cracked A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked?window=all) Price · $49.27 · 70.38 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.49% · 14.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.99% ±22.13 1,298 openings 7 days · 93.47% ±8.03 11.2K openings 30 days · 94.49% ±7.17 14.3K openings since tracking started · 94.49% ±7.17 14.3K openings 60.0% 83.0% 106.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked?window=24h) | 1,298 | 82.99% ±22.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked?window=7d) | 11.2K | 93.47% ±8.03 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked) | 14.3K | 94.49% ±7.17 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cracked?window=all) | 14.3K | 94.49% ±7.17 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [F12HH](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/F12HH) $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-10 22:26 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-10 21:48 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-10 19:16 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-10 14:29 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-10 13:54 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-10 02:11 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [Injee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Injee) $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-09 23:45 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-09 16:56 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $2,217 3,168 coins 45.01x 2026-11-09 06:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=cracked) [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) [TEEBEECS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/TEEBEECS) $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:52 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) [Big yahu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Big%20yahu) $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:52 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) Hidden $49.27 70.38 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,217 (45.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.49 on average: an expected loss of $5.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt