--- title: "Crown case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Crown ($27.50) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.01% over 685 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown rendered: 2026-11-12T08:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Crown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Crown A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown?window=all) Price · $27.50 · 39.29 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.01% · 685 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 33 openings · below min 7 days · 483 openings · below min 30 days · 685 openings · below min since tracking started · 685 openings · below min 38.5% 68.5% 98.5% **Small sample.** 685 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown?window=24h) | 33 | 64.10% ±24.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown?window=7d) | 483 | 84.33% ±9.32 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown) | 685 | 88.01% ±9.91 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crown?window=all) | 685 | 88.01% ±9.91 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=crown) [Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.50 39.29 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 06:49 UTC [Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.50 39.29 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 06:49 UTC [Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.50 39.29 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 06:49 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) Hidden $27.50 39.29 coins $19.19 27.41 coins 0.70x 2026-11-12 06:49 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-factory-new) Hidden $27.50 39.29 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.15x 2026-11-12 06:49 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) Hidden $27.50 39.29 coins $19.19 27.41 coins 0.70x 2026-11-12 06:49 UTC [Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.50 39.29 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 06:49 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-factory-new) [ode](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ode) $27.50 39.29 coins $4.23 6.05 coins 0.15x 2026-11-12 06:49 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) Hidden $27.50 39.29 coins $47.96 68.52 coins 1.74x 2026-11-12 06:47 UTC [M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) Hidden $27.50 39.29 coins $68.89 98.41 coins 2.50x 2026-11-12 06:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.01 on average: an expected loss of $11.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt