--- title: "Crunchy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Crunchy ($45.44) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.25% over 5,676 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy rendered: 2026-11-11T19:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Crunchy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Crunchy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy?window=all) Price · $45.44 · 64.91 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.25% · 5,676 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 429 openings · below min 7 days · 79.61% ±12.55 4,456 openings 30 days · 84.25% ±11.60 5,676 openings since tracking started · 84.25% ±11.60 5,676 openings 22.0% 59.3% 96.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy?window=24h) | 429 | 44.17% ±21.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy?window=7d) | 4,456 | 79.61% ±12.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy) | 5,676 | 84.25% ±11.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crunchy?window=all) | 5,676 | 84.25% ±11.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $2,698 3,855 coins 59.39x 2026-11-06 22:28 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $2,698 3,855 coins 59.39x 2026-11-04 17:05 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $2,564 3,662 coins 56.42x 2026-11-10 17:01 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $2,564 3,662 coins 56.42x 2026-11-09 05:56 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $2,564 3,662 coins 56.42x 2026-11-08 02:15 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Espião](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Espi%C3%A3o) $45.44 64.91 coins $2,564 3,662 coins 56.42x 2026-11-07 20:46 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $2,294 3,277 coins 50.48x 2026-11-10 18:04 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) [Rajagamba](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Rajagamba) $45.44 64.91 coins $2,294 3,277 coins 50.48x 2026-11-04 20:21 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $2,294 3,277 coins 50.48x 2026-11-04 15:45 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $2,294 3,277 coins 50.48x 2026-11-03 20:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=crunchy) [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) [jacked](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/jacked) $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) [NotSL](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/NotSL) $45.44 64.91 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,698 (59.39x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.25 on average: an expected loss of $15.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt