--- title: "Crystalized case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crystalized ($20.60) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.13% over 791 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized rendered: 2026-11-12T09:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Crystalized](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Crystalized A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized?window=all) Price · $20.60 · 29.43 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.13% · 791 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 566 openings · below min 30 days · 791 openings · below min since tracking started · 791 openings · below min 19.0% 73.0% 127.0% **Small sample.** 791 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized?window=24h) | 34 | 72.98% ±53.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized?window=7d) | 566 | 88.52% ±17.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized) | 791 | 86.13% ±14.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/crystalized?window=all) | 791 | 86.13% ±14.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=crystalized) [Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.60 29.43 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 09:37 UTC [Dual Berettas | Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.60 29.43 coins $35.52 50.74 coins 1.72x 2026-11-12 09:37 UTC [AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.60 29.43 coins $2.81 4.02 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 09:37 UTC [AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.60 29.43 coins $2.81 4.02 coins 0.14x 2026-11-12 09:37 UTC [MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $20.60 29.43 coins $15.66 22.37 coins 0.76x 2026-11-12 09:37 UTC [Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.60 29.43 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 09:37 UTC [MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $20.60 29.43 coins $15.66 22.37 coins 0.76x 2026-11-12 09:37 UTC [Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) [Jonkenn](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Jonkenn) $20.60 29.43 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 09:37 UTC [Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.60 29.43 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 01:45 UTC [Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.60 29.43 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 01:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.13 on average: an expected loss of $13.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt