--- title: "Cupid case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cupid ($3.58) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.50% over 37.7K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Cupid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Cupid A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid?window=all) Price · $3.58 · 5.11 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.50% · 37.7K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 107.38% ±18.72 4,265 openings 7 days · 93.45% ±6.67 32.2K openings 30 days · 93.50% ±6.20 37.7K openings since tracking started · 93.50% ±6.20 37.7K openings 86.0% 106.3% 126.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid?window=24h) | 4,265 | 107.38% ±18.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid?window=7d) | 32.2K | 93.45% ±6.67 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid) | 37.7K | 93.50% ±6.20 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cupid?window=all) | 37.7K | 93.50% ±6.20 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) [RincuuK](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/RincuuK) $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-11 01:46 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-10 14:12 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-09 21:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-09 18:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-09 17:27 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-09 16:38 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-09 15:17 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) [StillAlive](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/StillAlive) $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-09 11:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $506 723 coins 141.4x 2026-11-09 08:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=cupid) [Sealed Graffiti | Heart (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-heart-princess-pink) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Heart (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-heart-princess-pink) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $11.91 17.02 coins 3.33x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-princess-pink) [Holo-.-](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Holo-.-) $3.58 5.11 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Heart (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-heart-princess-pink) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Heart (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-heart-princess-pink) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Heart (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-heart-princess-pink) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-field-tested) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $1.39 1.98 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Heart (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-heart-princess-pink) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Princess Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-princess-pink) Hidden $3.58 5.11 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $506 (141.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.50 on average: an expected loss of $6.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt