--- title: "Cursed case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cursed ($3.54) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.08% over 5,850 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed rendered: 2026-11-11T13:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Cursed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Cursed A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed?window=all) Price · $3.54 · 5.06 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.08% · 5,850 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 911 openings · below min 7 days · 93.48% ±6.30 4,413 openings 30 days · 94.08% ±5.64 5,850 openings since tracking started · 94.08% ±5.64 5,850 openings 73.5% 87.0% 100.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed?window=24h) | 911 | 86.99% ±12.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed?window=7d) | 4,413 | 93.48% ±6.30 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed) | 5,850 | 94.08% ±5.64 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed?window=all) | 5,850 | 94.08% ±5.64 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=cursed) [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 09:33 UTC [Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-ancient-ritual-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:33 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-field-tested) Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $3.65 5.22 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 09:33 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-danger-close-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 09:33 UTC [Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-ancient-ritual-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:33 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 09:33 UTC [MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $0.08 0.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:33 UTC [Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) [HI MOM!](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/HI%20MOM!) $3.54 5.06 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 09:33 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $2.88 4.12 coins 0.81x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.08 on average: an expected loss of $5.92 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt