--- title: "Dark Skies case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dark Skies ($22.04) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 107.07% over 884 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies rendered: 2026-11-11T19:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Dark Skies](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Dark Skies A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies?window=all) Price · $22.04 · 31.48 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 107.07% · 884 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 53 openings · below min 7 days · 662 openings · below min 30 days · 884 openings · below min since tracking started · 884 openings · below min 29.5% 80.8% 132.0% **Small sample.** 884 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies?window=24h) | 53 | 64.04% ±33.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies?window=7d) | 662 | 105.69% ±25.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies) | 884 | 107.07% ±22.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dark-skies?window=all) | 884 | 107.07% ±22.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $1,000 1,429 coins 45.40x 2026-11-09 00:24 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $1,000 1,429 coins 45.40x 2026-11-08 22:29 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $1,000 1,429 coins 45.40x 2026-11-05 00:48 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $1,000 1,429 coins 45.40x 2026-11-04 12:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=dark-skies) [CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $2.97 4.25 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $10.19 14.55 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC [AUG | Midnight Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-well-worn) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $171 245 coins 7.77x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC [StatTrak™ Music Kit | Midnight Riders, All I Want for Christmas music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-midnight-riders-all-i-want-for-christmas) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $4.72 6.74 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC [Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $22.05 31.5 coins 1.00x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-factory-new) [OHNEEHRE](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/OHNEEHRE) $22.04 31.48 coins $4.17 5.95 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $66.50 95 coins 3.02x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [Sticker | Blood Moon Wave Rider sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-wave-rider) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $0.36 0.52 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $19.95 28.5 coins 0.91x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) Hidden $22.04 31.48 coins $52.79 75.42 coins 2.40x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,000 (45.40x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 107.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $107.07 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt