--- title: "Data case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Data ($18.48) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.90% over 71.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data rendered: 2026-11-12T22:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Data](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Data A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data?window=all) Price · $18.48 · 26.4 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.90% · 71.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.02% ±49.35 5,084 openings 7 days · 85.82% ±18.77 32.7K openings 30 days · 82.90% ±12.50 71.3K openings since tracking started · 82.90% ±12.50 71.3K openings 42.0% 92.0% 142.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data?window=24h) | 5,084 | 92.02% ±49.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data?window=7d) | 32.7K | 85.82% ±18.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data) | 71.3K | 82.90% ±12.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/data?window=all) | 71.3K | 82.90% ±12.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 19:24 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 18:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [cpt.](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/cpt.) $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 17:47 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 17:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 14:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 14:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 14:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 12:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 12:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $6,569 9,384 coins 355.4x 2026-11-12 12:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=data) [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) [Mr. Twotrax](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.%20Twotrax) $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:10 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Rly (Jungle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rly-jungle-green) Hidden $18.48 26.4 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,569 (355.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.90 on average: an expected loss of $17.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt