--- title: "Defence case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Defence ($9.07) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 80.49% over 15.8K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Defence](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Defence A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence?window=all) Price · $9.07 · 12.96 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 80.49% · 15.8K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 78.14% ±15.21 1,883 openings 7 days · 81.73% ±7.77 13K openings 30 days · 80.49% ±7.07 15.8K openings since tracking started · 80.49% ±7.07 15.8K openings 62.5% 78.3% 94.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence?window=24h) | 1,883 | 78.14% ±15.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence?window=7d) | 13K | 81.73% ±7.77 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence) | 15.8K | 80.49% ±7.07 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/defence?window=all) | 15.8K | 80.49% ±7.07 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $1,012 1,446 coins 111.6x 2026-11-08 20:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $1,012 1,446 coins 111.6x 2026-11-08 09:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $1,012 1,446 coins 111.6x 2026-11-08 00:11 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BG2x) $9.07 12.96 coins $1,012 1,446 coins 111.6x 2026-11-07 12:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $1,012 1,446 coins 111.6x 2026-11-06 20:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $1,012 1,446 coins 111.6x 2026-11-05 04:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $1,012 1,446 coins 111.6x 2026-11-04 13:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [cpt.](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/cpt.) $9.07 12.96 coins $1,012 1,446 coins 111.6x 2026-11-04 09:08 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $685 978 coins 75.47x 2026-11-09 13:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $685 978 coins 75.47x 2026-11-08 18:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=defence) [Souvenir MP7 | Motherboard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-motherboard-field-tested) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [Souvenir P250 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) [Nik4ou](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Nik4ou) $9.07 12.96 coins $112 160 coins 12.32x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Motherboard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-motherboard-field-tested) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Motherboard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-motherboard-field-tested) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-well-worn) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $53.14 75.92 coins 5.86x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $3.51 5.01 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Motherboard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-motherboard-field-tested) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $3.51 5.01 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-well-worn) Hidden $9.07 12.96 coins $53.14 75.92 coins 5.86x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) [naamsayn](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/naamsayn) $9.07 12.96 coins $16.01 22.87 coins 1.76x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,012 (111.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.49 on average: an expected loss of $19.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt