--- title: "Demon case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Demon ($466.66) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 104.63% over 131 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon rendered: 2026-11-11T13:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Demon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Demon A case on Rain.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon?window=all) Price · $466.66 · 667 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 104.63% · 131 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 123 openings · below min 30 days · 131 openings · below min since tracking started · 131 openings · below min -0.5% 155.3% 311.0% **Small sample.** 131 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon?window=24h) | 10 | 145.21% ±165.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon?window=7d) | 123 | 108.02% ±26.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon) | 131 | 104.63% ±24.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/demon?window=all) | 131 | 104.63% ±24.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) Hidden $467 667 coins $4,014 5,735 coins 8.60x 2026-11-10 17:46 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) Hidden $467 667 coins $2,527 3,610 coins 5.42x 2026-11-06 17:33 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) Hidden $467 667 coins $2,527 3,610 coins 5.42x 2026-11-06 17:33 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) Hidden $467 667 coins $2,527 3,610 coins 5.42x 2026-11-05 20:05 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) Hidden $467 667 coins $2,527 3,610 coins 5.42x 2026-11-04 15:21 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $467 667 coins $1,556 2,223 coins 3.33x 2026-11-07 17:40 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $467 667 coins $1,556 2,223 coins 3.33x 2026-11-06 12:00 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $467 667 coins $1,556 2,223 coins 3.33x 2026-11-05 20:05 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $467 667 coins $1,556 2,223 coins 3.33x 2026-11-05 01:10 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) Hidden $467 667 coins $1,320 1,886 coins 2.83x 2026-11-05 20:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=demon) [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $467 667 coins $729 1,041 coins 1.56x 2026-11-10 20:48 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $467 667 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:48 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $467 667 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:48 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $467 667 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:48 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $467 667 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:48 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $467 667 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:48 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $467 667 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 2.62x 2026-11-10 17:46 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-minimal-wear) Hidden $467 667 coins $263 376 coins 0.56x 2026-11-10 17:46 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) Hidden $467 667 coins $4,014 5,735 coins 8.60x 2026-11-10 17:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [ADDICTED](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ADDICTED) $467 667 coins $545 779 coins 1.17x 2026-11-10 17:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,014 (8.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.63 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt