--- title: "Dirty case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dirty ($5.94) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 102.39% over 1,936 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty rendered: 2026-11-11T19:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Dirty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Dirty A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty?window=all) Price · $5.94 · 8.49 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 102.39% · 1,936 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 93 openings · below min 7 days · 103.61% ±11.81 1,665 openings 30 days · 102.39% ±10.58 1,936 openings since tracking started · 102.39% ±10.58 1,936 openings 42.5% 143.5% 244.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty?window=24h) | 93 | 143.45% ±100.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty?window=7d) | 1,665 | 103.61% ±11.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty) | 1,936 | 102.39% ±10.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/dirty?window=all) | 1,936 | 102.39% ±10.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=dirty) [PP-Bizon | Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-well-worn) Hidden $5.94 8.49 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.94 8.49 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [Nova | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $5.94 8.49 coins $2.03 2.9 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-factory-new) Hidden $5.94 8.49 coins $5.68 8.11 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.94 8.49 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [PP-Bizon | Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-well-worn) Hidden $5.94 8.49 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | The Bronze (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-field-tested) Hidden $5.94 8.49 coins $2.92 4.17 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-minimal-wear) [Lilian Abdeslam](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Lilian%20Abdeslam) $5.94 8.49 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [PP-Bizon | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $5.94 8.49 coins $27.79 39.7 coins 4.68x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-ol-rusty-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.94 8.49 coins $0.20 0.28 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 102.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $102.39 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt