--- title: "Doughnut case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Doughnut ($67.97) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.21% over 3,893 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Doughnut](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Doughnut A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut?window=all) Price · $67.97 · 97.1 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.21% · 3,893 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 348 openings · below min 7 days · 82.28% ±10.43 3,370 openings 30 days · 84.21% ±9.80 3,893 openings since tracking started · 84.21% ±9.80 3,893 openings 36.0% 71.8% 107.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut?window=24h) | 348 | 71.74% ±35.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut?window=7d) | 3,370 | 82.28% ±10.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut) | 3,893 | 84.21% ±9.80 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/doughnut?window=all) | 3,893 | 84.21% ±9.80 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $2,673 3,819 coins 39.33x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $2,673 3,819 coins 39.33x 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $2,673 3,819 coins 39.33x 2026-11-08 03:26 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $2,673 3,819 coins 39.33x 2026-11-07 04:40 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $2,673 3,819 coins 39.33x 2026-11-03 06:44 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) [THEZYDAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/THEZYDAS) $67.97 97.1 coins $2,050 2,929 coins 30.17x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $2,050 2,929 coins 30.17x 2026-11-10 23:43 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $2,050 2,929 coins 30.17x 2026-11-10 00:57 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $2,050 2,929 coins 30.17x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $2,050 2,929 coins 30.17x 2026-11-09 05:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=doughnut) [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $10.77 15.38 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $449 641 coins 6.61x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $10.77 15.38 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $10.77 15.38 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $10.77 15.38 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $67.97 97.1 coins $10.77 15.38 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $10.77 15.38 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $10.77 15.38 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $10.77 15.38 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $67.97 97.1 coins $10.77 15.38 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,673 (39.33x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.21 on average: an expected loss of $15.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt