---
title: "Duel case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Duel ($8.32) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.71% over 3,088 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Duel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel)

# [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Duel

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel?window=all)

Price · $8.32 · 11.89 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.71% · 3,088 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 429 openings · below min

7 days · 90.87% ±12.91 2,551 openings

30 days · 90.71% ±11.23 3,088 openings

since tracking started · 90.71% ±11.23 3,088 openings

64.5% 94.3% 124.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel?window=24h) | 429 | 94.25% ±28.9 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel?window=7d) | 2,551 | 90.87% ±12.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel) | 3,088 | 90.71% ±11.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/duel?window=all) | 3,088 | 90.71% ±11.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $538 769 coins 64.65x 2026-11-09 12:28 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $538 769 coins 64.65x 2026-11-06 20:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=duel)

[R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $51.38 73.4 coins 6.17x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Memento (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-memento-well-worn) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $2.83 4.05 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-minimal-wear) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $8.32 11.89 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.32 11.89 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $538 (64.65x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.71 on average: an expected loss of $9.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
