--- title: "Earthquake case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Earthquake ($79.72) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.00% over 449 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake rendered: 2026-11-12T10:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Earthquake](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Earthquake A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake?window=all) Price · $79.72 · 114 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.00% · 449 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 370 openings · below min 30 days · 449 openings · below min since tracking started · 449 openings · below min 20.5% 72.8% 125.0% **Small sample.** 449 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake?window=24h) | 10 | 72.58% ±51.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake?window=7d) | 370 | 85.25% ±12.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake) | 449 | 87.00% ±11.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/earthquake?window=all) | 449 | 87.00% ±11.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [SSG 08 | Death Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $648 926 coins 8.13x 2026-11-06 10:28 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $504 720 coins 6.32x 2026-11-07 11:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=earthquake) [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Brass (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-brass-factory-new) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $96.79 138 coins 1.21x 2026-11-12 03:39 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-minimal-wear) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $192 275 coins 2.41x 2026-11-12 03:39 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-schematic-minimal-wear) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $1.40 2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 03:39 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-schematic-minimal-wear) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $1.40 2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 03:39 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $87.46 125 coins 1.10x 2026-11-12 03:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-battle-scarred) [FybZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/FybZ) $79.72 114 coins $98.07 140 coins 1.23x 2026-11-12 03:39 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-schematic-minimal-wear) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $1.40 2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-battle-scarred) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $98.07 140 coins 1.23x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $79.72 114 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [HEAVYISTHECROWN](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/HEAVYISTHECROWN) $79.72 114 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $648 (8.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.00 on average: an expected loss of $13.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt