--- title: "El Diablo case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "El Diablo ($546.34) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.85% over 767 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo rendered: 2026-11-11T18:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [El Diablo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · El Diablo A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo?window=all) Price · $546.34 · 780 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.85% · 767 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 171 openings · below min 7 days · 657 openings · below min 30 days · 767 openings · below min since tracking started · 767 openings · below min 40.5% 66.5% 92.5% **Small sample.** 767 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo?window=24h) | 171 | 61.68% ±20.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo?window=7d) | 657 | 75.92% ±15.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo) | 767 | 76.85% ±14.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/el-diablo?window=all) | 767 | 76.85% ±14.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $546 780 coins $11.9K 16,978 coins 21.75x 2026-11-06 11:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $546 780 coins $8,830 12,614 coins 16.16x 2026-11-07 01:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $546 780 coins $8,830 12,614 coins 16.16x 2026-11-05 20:06 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $546 780 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 13.80x 2026-11-06 11:30 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $546 780 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 13.80x 2026-11-06 11:06 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $546 780 coins $7,542 10,774 coins 13.80x 2026-11-03 22:39 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $546 780 coins $5,896 8,424 coins 10.79x 2026-11-08 23:59 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $546 780 coins $5,896 8,424 coins 10.79x 2026-11-07 00:08 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $546 780 coins $5,896 8,424 coins 10.79x 2026-11-05 23:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [I Identify as a Helicop](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/I%20Identify%20as%20a%20Helicop) $546 780 coins $5,005 7,150 coins 9.16x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=el-diablo) [★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $546 780 coins $89.00 127 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $546 780 coins $89.00 127 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $546 780 coins $89.00 127 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) [Hiccupplayz](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Hiccupplayz) $546 780 coins $186 266 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $546 780 coins $396 566 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $546 780 coins $89.00 127 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $546 780 coins $89.00 127 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $546 780 coins $89.00 127 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $546 780 coins $89.00 127 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $546 780 coins $396 566 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $11.9K (21.75x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.85 on average: an expected loss of $23.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt