--- title: "Elder case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Elder ($10.64) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.71% over 8,241 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder rendered: 2026-11-11T14:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Elder](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Elder A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder?window=all) Price · $10.64 · 15.2 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.71% · 8,241 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 662 openings · below min 7 days · 82.72% ±11.69 6,045 openings 30 days · 82.71% ±9.64 8,241 openings since tracking started · 82.71% ±9.64 8,241 openings 54.0% 74.5% 95.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder?window=24h) | 662 | 68.25% ±13.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder?window=7d) | 6,045 | 82.72% ±11.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder) | 8,241 | 82.71% ±9.64 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elder?window=all) | 8,241 | 82.71% ±9.64 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $2,192 3,132 coins 206.0x 2026-11-04 17:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1,931 2,758 coins 181.5x 2026-11-07 15:05 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $850 1,214 coins 79.84x 2026-11-09 20:12 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $850 1,214 coins 79.84x 2026-11-08 20:34 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $850 1,214 coins 79.84x 2026-11-04 20:47 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $850 1,214 coins 79.84x 2026-11-04 20:44 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $850 1,214 coins 79.84x 2026-11-03 22:31 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $850 1,214 coins 79.84x 2026-11-03 22:11 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $850 1,214 coins 79.84x 2026-11-03 11:35 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $850 1,214 coins 79.84x 2026-11-02 23:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=elder) [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) [cpt.](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/cpt.) $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:19 UTC [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:19 UTC [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:19 UTC [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:19 UTC [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:19 UTC [Sticker | rain (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $10.64 15.2 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,192 (206.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.71 on average: an expected loss of $17.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt