--- title: "Elemental case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Elemental ($16.72) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.95% over 1,423 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental rendered: 2026-11-12T02:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Elemental](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Elemental A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental?window=all) Price · $16.72 · 23.89 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.95% · 1,423 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 101 openings · below min 7 days · 89.77% ±8.38 1,035 openings 30 days · 91.95% ±7.14 1,423 openings since tracking started · 91.95% ±7.14 1,423 openings 67.5% 92.8% 118.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental?window=24h) | 101 | 92.55% ±24.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental?window=7d) | 1,035 | 89.77% ±8.38 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental) | 1,423 | 91.95% ±7.14 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/elemental?window=all) | 1,423 | 91.95% ±7.14 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=elemental) [Glock-18 | Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-well-worn) Hidden $16.72 23.89 coins $15.43 22.04 coins 0.92x 2026-11-12 02:22 UTC [P90 | Desert DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $16.72 23.89 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 02:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.72 23.89 coins $19.09 27.27 coins 1.14x 2026-11-12 02:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) [el asesino](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/el%20asesino) $16.72 23.89 coins $19.09 27.27 coins 1.14x 2026-11-12 02:22 UTC [P90 | Desert DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $16.72 23.89 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $16.72 23.89 coins $26.10 37.28 coins 1.56x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC [R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-phoenix-marker-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.72 23.89 coins $2.81 4.02 coins 0.17x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC [Glock-18 | Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-well-worn) Hidden $16.72 23.89 coins $15.43 22.04 coins 0.92x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-airlock-field-tested) Hidden $16.72 23.89 coins $6.34 9.05 coins 0.38x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC [R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-phoenix-marker-minimal-wear) [mvip](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/mvip) $16.72 23.89 coins $2.81 4.02 coins 0.17x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.95 on average: an expected loss of $8.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt